Climate change to hit the world’s poor = WRITTEN BY JAMES PLESTED

 
Climatechangetohittheworld’spoor

A new report by the World Bank, Shockwaves: Managing the Impact of Climate Change on Poverty, highlights the threat posed by climate change to the world’s poorest communities. According to the report, “[C]limate change could force more than 100 million people into extreme poverty by 2030”.

The report’s publication comes after the much-hyped adoption of a new set of 17 “sustainable development goals”by the United Nations General Assembly in September, and shortly before the opening of the UN climate conference in Paris later this month.

The first of the development goals agreed by the UN is to “end poverty in all its forms everywhere”. An interim target under this goal is to halve the number of people living in poverty and eradicate extreme poverty by 2030. Extreme poverty is defined as living on less than US$1.25 a day. There are currently 1 billion people in this category.

The message from the World Bank is clear. If we continue on our current path of rapid warming and growing inequality, ambitious development goals like this will be impossible to achieve. In fact, things are only likely to get worse.

The most significant impact will come through declining yields in agriculture. According to modelling referred to in the report, global crop yields could decline by as much as 5 percent by 2030 and 30 percent by 2080.

Declining yields have the potential to cause the kind of rapid increases in food prices that, in 2008, drove around 100 million people into poverty. Another study cited in the report found, “[I]n parts of Africa and Asia, climate-related price adjustments could increase poverty rates for non-agricultural households by 20-50 percent”.

This will be exacerbated by the impact of climate change on ecosystems. The report doesn’t attempt the same kind of quantification of the effects in this area, and it isn’t factored into the headline figures on poverty. Nevertheless, it notes that the impact could be “catastrophic”, citing, for example, “small island states or low-lying coastal areas” that will be rendered “completely uninhabitable” in the longer term.

The increasing frequency of extreme weather and natural disasters such as droughts, floods and fires is another area of concern. The report points out that under a high-emissions scenario, the heat wave in Europe in 2003, which killed more than 70,000 people, will be an average summer by the end of the century.

According to the report, “[T]he number of drought days could increase by more than 20 percent in most of the world by 2080”. There is also the potential for more devastating floods, with the number of people exposed to flooding increasing by up to 15 percent by 2030 and 29 percent by 2080.

The final area examined in the report is health. Diseases that disproportionately affect poorer communities, such as malaria and diarrhoea, are expected to increase in a warming world. According to the report, “[W]arming of 2° C or 3° C could increase the number of people at risk for malaria by up to 5 percent, or more than 150 million people”.

Deaths from pollution are also expected to increase. The report cites a study showing that “climate change could cause annually an additional 100,000 premature deaths associated with exposure to small particulate matter and 6,300 premature deaths associated with ozone exposure”.

This is the future we can expect in a world of runaway warming. The richest few – those whose economic activities have contributed the most to climate change – will be able to ward off the worst of its effects. The poor’s already precarious existence will be increasingly threatened: natural disasters, hunger and disease will become a “new norm” from which there is little chance of escape.

The World Bank recommends that governments work rapidly to build up support structures – infrastructure, health care, welfare and so on – that can help poor communities adapt to the effects of climate change that are already “locked in”.

Alongside this, it advocates measures, such as investment in renewable energy and public transport, that can help achieve the goal of limiting long-term warming to between 2 and 3 degrees Celsius.

In the face of the climate crisis, governments should be doing all these things and more. There’s enough money sloshing around the global capitalist system – in spiralling corporate profits, giant asset bubbles and tax havens – both to end poverty and to fund a rapid shift to a 100 percent renewable world energy system. The question is: why isn’t it happening?

The answer is suggested, perhaps unintentionally, by the World Bank itself. In discussing the need for infrastructure investment to “reduce the long-term vulnerability of the population” to climate change, the report notes that “investing where it is most cost-efficient would risk concentrating resources on wealthier populations at the expense of poor communities”.

This gets to the heart of it. Capitalism is centred on profit, and profit means, above all “investing where it is most cost efficient”. In today’s world, what’s most “cost efficient” for the richest few who control the vast majority of global wealth is to continue doing what has made them rich in the first place – scouring the world for new markets and resources to exploit, and doing it with little or no regard for the environment or the lives and livelihoods of the poor.

The bank’s analysis of climate change and poverty implies the need to challenge the core, competitive dynamics of capitalism. But, as one of the central institutions that has, historically, upheld and extended the power and privilege of the super-rich by extending their reach into developing markets, it can’t and won’t draw the obvious conclusions.

Its analysis may provide some insight into the particular threat that climate change poses to the world’s poor. But the report’s prescriptions, such as building new infrastructure by “leveraging private resources … which involves well-known steps like improving the investment climate, developing local capital markets, and providing a pipeline of ‘bankable’ projects” will do nothing to improve the situation.

Naomi Klein put it well in her book This Changes Everything: Capitalism vs the Climate. If we’re serious about tackling climate change, we can’t waste any more time “attempting to make the square peg of the climate crisis fit into the round hole of deregulated capitalism”.

We need a movement that tackles the interests of the rich and powerful head on, liberating us from the drive to profit, and mobilising the collective wealth and labour of humanity to create a just and sustainable global economy.

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ALEPPO: ISIS, ERDOGAN AND AL QAEDA ENTER A NEW WORLD OF DEFEAT AND DISGRACE AS THE ARMY TAKES THEM APART = WRITTEN BY ZIAD FADEL

 

في-جديد-الميدان-..-الجيش-السوري-يسيطر-على-مواقع-استراتيجية-بريفي-حلب-الجنوبي-والغربي

ALEPPO:  Intercepted chatter between the terrorists in Syria and their Turkish-British handlers tell the entire story.  The rats are desperate for resupply and reinforcements in Aleppo, but, cannot expect any soon with a hardened Russian air force and a Syrian one, also, populating the skies overhead.  The Turkish downing of the Sukhoi “Fencer” was the last straw that broke the Russian bear’s back and forced him to deploy the most sophisticated anti-aircraft system in the world, the S-400.  And now that the Turk vermin PM, Davutoghlu,  has admitted to personally giving the order to shoot down the Russian plane while it was over Syrian territory represents the denouement in the tale of rotting Russian-Turkish relations.

Rasm Al-‘Abed, Hameema, Tal-Ahmar:  The SAAF is pounding ISIS here with a focus on annihilating all supply lines, both economic and military.

 

Air Force Academy:  The Syrian Army, with the RuAF and SAAF flying overhead, has managed to take over all villages surrounding the academy, effectively laying siege to the formerly besieging ISIS rodents.  They are sandwiched in between the tenacious defenders of the school and the vengeance-hungry Republican Guard.  The SAA has now secured the entire Aleppo-Al-Raqqa International Highway, cutting off all possible supplies to the starving rodents.  Killed here on Friday were 95 ISIS vermin and some Syrians:

Ibraaheem ‘Aadil Kawraj

Muhammad Naaji Al-‘Umar

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LATAKIA:  If the rats think it’s getting bad out in Aleppo, in Latakia, it’s much worse with their fortifications being relentlessly destroyed by the hyperactive air forces of Syria and Russia.

 

الجيش يسيطر على شوارع وكتل سكنية في بلدة مرج السلطان بريف دمشق

Tal Al-Akraad:  The Syrian Army and SAAF pounded this position with a will and killed one ofNusra/Alqaeda’s most notorious murdering rat commanders:

Muhammad Saleem Jawlaaq (a/k/a “Al-Khaal”, the maternal uncle.  He commanded a group called First Coastal Division.  Made up of mostly Turkmen)

Also killed was the military advisor to the Army of the Mujaahideen.

FSA, which claims to be “moderate” (nyuk) lost these in the same area:

Defector and former Brigadier General Rasheed Baqdaash (he is of Kurdish origin)

Abbaas Hijaazi (a/k/a “Al-‘Absi) 

 

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DER’AH/SUWAYDAA`:  This is the area which the SAA had trained to fight back the Zionists and their Hashemite allies.  It only stands to reason that the rats cannot survive here any longer.

 

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Al-Saaqiya and West Tallat Banaat Ba’eer:  In the northeast of Suwaydaa` along the desert border between Jordan and Iraq.  The SAA has pounded the stuffing out of the rats here with aerial assessments of over 50 dead or wounded rodents from ISIS.

 

Al-Aslaha Village:  The SAA and PDC assaulted a Nusra/Al-Qaeda position on the western border with Der’ah Province.

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HOMS:  Rat responsible for delivering 2 suicide bombers from Al-Raqqa to Lebanon, ‘Abdul-Salaam ‘Abdul-Razzaaq Al-Hindaawi, was killed by the Syrian Security Services with the help of HZB, in a unique operation in eastern Homs.

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In the explosion of November 12, 2015, 2 suicide bombers unleashed their explosive belts amidst a crowd of innocent citizens at the Burj Al-Baraajina suburb of southern Beirut which is a citadel of support for the Lebanese Resistance.  Al-Hindaawi was a typical Houraani nutcase raised on hatred of minorities, but, was a practicing homosexual.  His nom de guerre was “Abu ‘Umar”.  HZB exacted revenge.  He was captured and HZB executed him in the appropriate manner.

 

Al-Tamtheeliyya:  The Syrian Army has established complete control over this town west of Palmyra as of November 17, 2015.

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PHOTO OF THE DAY:  Here is the rescued navigator from the SU-24 shot down by the criminal terrorist Erdoghan while it was flying in Syrian airspace:

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(Photo courtesy of the Ba’ath)

He was discovered in an area between Dooreen Summit and the Jabal Al-Akraad.  He has received the “Medal of Courage” as did the slain Russian marine who participated in the rescue operation, Alexander Bozinich.  The captain of the airplane, who was cruelly murdered by Turkman savage, Lt. Col. Oleg Peshkov, was given the highest medal: “Hero of Russia”.   

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NEWS AND COMMENT:

Anonymous sends this insightful report from Ron Paul about the real allies behind ISIS:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IvFQ_Kp-GwU

Sam Haim and Nicholas Reardon send Gen. Wesley Clark’s interesting comments about Turkey and Islam and ISIS:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DecIAlW9t9o

Kevin Hester sets the record straight in this audio interview in Australia. Be patient, it comes at the end:

http://www.planetaudio.org.nz/greenplanet/thursday/player

John Esq. sends us the interview with the surviving Russian navigator of the Su-24 shot down by the criminal Turks:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d_A6HktaZuU&sns=em

Killer of Russian pilot is a son of Turk mayor:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FZpbz2OpCMo&feature=youtu.be  (Thanks, Johnny Peterson)

Brandon discusses Turkey as the real ISIS:

http://www.activistpost.com/2015/11/is-turkey-the-real-isis.html

Arabi Souri sends this one about what the West’s purpose is in Syria:

http://www.syrianews.cc/west-fights-isis-swift-look/?fb_ref=Default&fb_source=group

John Esq. wants this nice article from VT exhibited.  Thanks to Nicholas Reardon, too:

http://www.veteranstoday.com/2015/11/27/neo-russia-will-now-eliminate-all-air-threats-to-its-forces-in-syria/

Want more on the shoot-down of the Fencer?  This is an eye-opener from John Esq.

http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2015/11/top-u-s-air-defense-commander-turkeys-shootdown-russian-jet-pre-planned.html

To my readers: Sorry for the two days. I was up North for the last weekend of deer-rifle season.  Ziad

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ALEPPO: ISIS, ERDOGHAN AND ALQAEDA ENTER A NEW WORLD OF DEFEAT AND DISGRACE AS THE ARMY TAKES THEM APART by Ziad Fadel

CLICK ON THIS LINK  =  http://syrianperspective.com/

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Chilling Video Shows NATO Member State Greeting and Providing Refuge to ISIS Militants – WRITTEN BY JAY SYRMOPOULOS

Amateur video taken at the Turkish-Syrian border shows Turkish soldiers greeting ISIS militants with open arms.

A video that seemingly bolsters Russian claims of Turkish government complicity with the Islamic State, highlights the casual relations between the terror group and Turkish officials.

Turkey has been accused of being one of the main benefactors of the ISIS terror group, accused of providing logistics, financing and military hardware. These accusations are particularly startling as Turkey is a member of NATO, a collective security group obligated to go to war if a member state is attacked. It would be a seemingly dangerous proposition to allow a state that basically props up the Islamic State, which then uses the group as a geopolitical weapon, to be in such a strategically important group.

The amateur footage reportedly shows ISIS militants and Turkish border guards holding a relaxed conversation near the Syrian city of Kobane, according to the Daily Mail. The amateur footage, taken near Zarova Hill on the outskirts of Kobane, was uploaded to YouTube on October 28, 2014.

According to the report in the Daily Mail:

It appears to show two heavily armed militants wandering nonchalantly up to the Turkish border fence – displaying shocking bravado as they smile and wave at the camera.

They are met by what appears to be a military vehicle full of security officials who, despite carrying weapons themselves, do little more than break into conversation with the jihadis, who eventually wander off back into Syria while shouting ‘Allahu Akbar’…

The clip begins with the two apparent jihadists lighting fires near a group of cars, which are believed to have been abandoned by desperate Kurdish families who fled Kobane in recent weeks when ISIS militants stepped up their attacks on the city.

After appearing to realise they are being filmed from inside Turkey, the pair start walking towards the border fence, stopping only to mockingly wave at the amateur filmmaker.

As they reach the border fence, an armoured military vehicle belonging to Turkish border guards speeds up to meet them. Heavily armed officials jump out the back of the car and – after briefly talking on their radios, simply engage the men in conversation.

At one point the situation appears tense and a border guard scampers towards the militants with his gun briefly raised, but he stops seconds later and also begins talking to the men.

After several minutes chatting, the militants wander off, defiantly raising their index finger to the sky to represent jihadism while chanting ‘Allahu Akbar’ – a phrase that translates as ‘God is the greatest’.

The Turkish government has repeatedly been accused of being one of the largest state sponsors of the Islamic State.

International security expert, Dr. Nafeez Ahmed, has repeatedly documented the fact that Turkey acts as a state sponsor of ISIS.

According to a report in Insurge Intelligence by Dr. Ahmed:

Earlier this year, the Turkish daily Meydan reported citing an Uighur source that more than 100,000 fake Turkish passports had been given to ISIS…

A senior Western official familiar with a large cache of intelligence obtained this summer from a major raid on an ISIS safehouse told the Guardian that “direct dealings between Turkish officials and ranking ISIS members was now ‘undeniable.’” The same official confirmed that Turkey, a longstanding member of NATO, is not just supporting ISIS, but also other jihadist groups, including Ahrar al-Sham and Jabhat al-Nusra, al-Qaeda’s affiliate in Syria…

Turkey has also played a key role in facilitating the life-blood of ISIS’ expansion: black market oil sales. Senior political and intelligence sources in Turkey and Iraq confirm that Turkish authorities have actively facilitated ISIS oil sales through the country…

Last summer, Mehmet Ali Ediboglu, an MP from the main opposition, the Republican People’s Party, estimated the quantity of ISIS oil sales in Turkey at about $800 million — that was over a year ago.

By now, this implies that Turkey has facilitated over $1 billion worth of black market ISIS oil sales to date.

Turkey is a neo-Islamist regime bent on taking out the Assad government in Syria through the use of terrorist proxies and is working to defend their terrorist allies in Syria.

After the downing of the Russian fighter jet, Russian President Vladimir Putin very succinctly laid out what has been taking place, placing blame directly on the Turkish government for the continued growth of the Islamic State.

“We have long been recording the movement of a large amount of oil and petroleum products to Turkey from Isis-occupied territories. This explains the significant funding the terrorists are receiving. Now they are stabbing us in the back by hitting our planes that are fighting terrorism. This is happening despite the agreement we have signed with our American partners to prevent air incidents, and, as you know, Turkey is among those who are supposed to be fighting terrorism within the American coalition…

If Isis is making so much money – we are talking about tens or maybe even hundreds of millions, possibly billions of dollars – in oil trade and they are supported by the armed forces of an entire state, it is clear why they are being so daring and impudent, why they are killing people in such gruesome ways, why they are committing terrorist attacks all over the world, including in the heart of Europe,” Putin said.

The fact that NATO continues to allow membership by Turkey, after their blatant support of the Islamic State, should raise serious questions as to who we call our “allies.”

If the U.S. truly wants to stop the Islamic State then it would seem logical to call Turkey out for its immense and continued state support of ISIS/Daesh.

The fact remains that Turkey is one of the biggest supporters of global terrorism and a member of NATO.

Will the Western world really allow itself be dragged into a potential global war due to an alliance with the Turkish government who refuses to cease their support for the Islamic State?

Read more at http://thefreethoughtproject.com/chilling-video-shows-nato-member-state-greeting-providing-refuge-isis-militants/#7t8JFfiAUlDk3iHM.99

‘Day to Day Politics’ with John Lord – WRITTEN BY JOHN LORD

Monday November 301 The answer to Alan Austin’s quiz was . . . One. Of the last 17 state or federal MPs sin-binned, 15 are Liberal Party members, one is a National and one is Labor.

Read more here.

2 Why did we need a Wind Farm Commissioner? The answer is because Senate cross bench senators Jacqui Lambie, Bob Day, David Leyonhjelm and John Madigan don’t like them. And of course that old wind bag himself, Alan Jones isn’t too fond of them either. So it’s about appeasement. Nothing to do with science and the numerous reports over the years that can’t identify any problems.

The Wind Farm Commissioner Andrew Dyer whose job, according to Mr Hunt’s letter, will be to receive complaints and pass them along to the relevant state authorities? Not a bad part-time job at $200,000 PA.

For Greg Hunt though, I suppose it is an inexpensive measure which creates the impression that he has made a concession, while simultaneously relieving him of the personal hardship of listening to any more whining from cross bench senators and Alan about wind farms.

When will the bullshit ever end? Still I suppose he will have fun reading all the conspiracy theories at our expense.

3 President Obama has yet again said, ‘enough is enough’ after another gun shooting in Colorado killed three people. The problem is that the American people simply cannot comprehend life without guns, in the way we cannot comprehend life with them.

4 So the Government is saying that it will achieve its emission target at very little cost but that the opposition’s policy will send the country broke.

At the risk of repeating myself ‘’We pay a high price for the upkeep of our personal health but at the same time think the cost of the upkeep of the planet should be next to nothing’’

Turnbull may be a very popular Prime Minister but at the same time he must also be the most hypocritical. He simply doesn’t have the guts of his own conviction.

5 Talking about hypocrisy. It’s only a few short weeks ago that any change to the immoral superannuation tax concessions to the rich and privileged was being described as trouser snatching. Meaning the opposition was wanting to steal your wallet from your back pocket. Now current indications seem to signify that the privileged will lose at least part of the concession.

6 Josh Frydenberg has broken ranks with his leader and accused Muslim Dr Ibrahim of trying to “cover up” his first statement after the Paris attacks and not doing enough to counter extremist Islam. Whether he has a case or not he is just another lose cannon Turnbull has to keep under control.

7 The BludgerTrack poll aggregate this week records a correction after what was probably an Ipsos-driven overshoot last week, with a milder result from Newspoll drawing the Coalition two-party lead back 0.7%, and moving the seat projection two points in favor of Labor, with gains in New South Wales and Victoria. However, Newspoll’s leadership ratings have added further distance between Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten on both net approval and preferred prime minister, although Shorten’s own net approval rating comes in slightly higher than last week’s.

53.7-46.3 to the Coalition

8 The Standing Orders for Question Time normally prevent the Opposition from asking questions about actions MPs took prior to becoming a Minister..

Malcolm Turnbull gave Mal Brough the precise portfolio of Special Minister of State, which puts him in charge of the policy area that forms the basis of the allegations made against him. This puts Minister Brough in a special position of accountability.

He is the Minister in charge of parliamentary standards and integrity. A search warrant and an investigation by the AFP and a clear confession on 60 minutes suggest his guilt. However neither he nor Malcolm Turnbull can see why anyone would think there’s a problem. Christopher Pyne even shut down his own speech rather than offer a defence. Enough said.

MY THOUGHT FOR THE DAY

‘There is nothing like the certainty of a closed mind’.

 

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A Christmas letter from Manus – WRITTEN BY JULIAN BURNSIDE

MANUSCONCENTRATIONCAMP

On 30 November 2015, Six hundred men in Manus RPC, PNG, wrote the following letter to Malcolm Turnbull, Prime Minister of Australia and Peter Dutton MP, Minister for Immigration and Border Protection.

The importance of this letter is that it sets a challenge for all of us who are preparing to celebrate Christmas.  Read the letter and ask yourself: by treating people this way, are we being true to the Christian spirit, or are we betraying it?  Christmas is the time when, according to Christian tradition, Christ’s parents could not readily find shelter as they fled to escape persecution.  If they did the same thing today and found themselves in Australia, they would be taken by force to another country  where they would be locked up indefinitely in shocking conditions.

This Christmas, we should all face up to some uncomfortable facts:

  • boat people are not “illegal”: they do not break any law by coming here to seek asylum;
  • we take them by force to another country (PNG or Nauru);
  • we imprison them and mistreat them;
  • we vilify them as “illegal” and sanitise the whole exercise by calling it  “border protection”
  • every aspect of it: the cruelty and the dishonesty, contradicts the most fundamental aspects of Christan teaching;
  • all of this has been implemented by people who conspicuously proclaim their Christianity, including Kevin Rudd, Tony Abbott, Scott Morrison.

Any government which is willing to tolerate these things cannot possibly describe itself as adhering to the Christian tradition.  Likewise any Opposition which does not oppose it. If your Federal MP is a member of the government and sends you a Christmas card this year, you can be pretty confident that he or she is a hypocrite.

Here is the transcribed text of the letter:

30/11/15
Hello Dear Mr Malcolm Turnbull and Peter Dutton.
As the refugees and asylum seekers trapped in Manus Island detention we wold like to request you something different this time.
As previously we wrote and asked for help and there was no respond to our request to be freed out of detention we realized that there are no differences between us and rubbish but a bunch of slaves that helped to stop the boats by living in hellish condition. The only difference is that we are very costly for the Australian tax payers and the Politicians as our job to “stop the boats” is done.
We would like to give you some recommendations to stop the waste of this huge amount of money ruining Australian’s reputation and to keep the Australian boarders safe forever.
1. A navy ship that can put us all on board and dump us all in the ocean. (HMAS is always available)
2. A gas chamber (DECMIL will do it with a new contract)
3. Injection of a poison. (IHMS will help for this)
This is not a joke or a satire and please take it serious.
We are dying in Manus gradually, every single day we are literarly tortured and traumatized and there is no safe country to offer us protection as DIBP says.
Best regards
Merry Christmas in advance
Manus refugees and asylum seekers.

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Turnbull, Dwindling – WRITTEN BY BOB ELLLIS

TURNBULLSHORTENCLIMATECHANGE

 

Turnbull’s bad luck continues. The Japanese have just said they’ll be hunting whales again soon, and, although there’s nothing he can do about it, his apparent cowardice on this issue will cost him one or two percent in Green preferences his party won back on Abbott’s fall.

This is on top of the one or two percent in Green preferences that Shorten won back this week with his Greenhouse reduction target of 45 percent, near double Turnbull’s.

Slowly, or not so slowly, the nation’s new leader is being shown to ne a wuss, a smooth-talking wuss. On coal; on gay marriage; on nuclear waste; on the superannuation rorts of the rich; on raising or widening the GST; on rape, impregnation, suicide and murder on Manus, Nauru and Christmas Island, he’s been following in lockstep where Abbott once led and refusing to ‘have the conversation’ with Australian people about what he should do.

Once again, the times do not suit him. A Republican beset by the golden glimmer of Wills and Kate, a wealthy tax avoider beseeching the middle class to pay more tax, a smiling optimist in a time of global terror and widening war, he seems shallow and careless and rich, smirking at the crimes on the high seas of Dutton, who this week put fleeing Bangla Deshis in danger of their lives and smuggled them into Indonesia which did not want them, illegally.

More and more he seems to lack substance and want resolve, to be a Peacock-like trimmer, an unrisen souffle, a lazy beaming socialite living off his family trust and banging on at dinner parties, a glittering anti-climax, a waste of space.

Will the truth of this show up in the polls soon? It’s hard to to say. The big lie that 4.5 million want Turnbull as Prime Minister and are nonetheless voting for Shorten seems to have been accepted by the pundits despite its utter implausibility. The Abbott-Andrews-Abetz insurgency seems to have been ignored. Most polling seems, for the moment, unlikely or insane.

But…a certain disquiet, like that which attended Rudd’s year-long vacillation, indecision and postponement of everything he needed to act on is becoming daily more palpable. He is looking more like a goose overseas than he would like, and more like a weakling at home.

And we swill see what we shall see.

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The Accomplices Have Their Backs Against the Wall – Originally Appeared at German Economic News; Translated by Susan Neumann

ERDOGANOBAMA
NATO knows its Turkish member’s ties to ISIS will be revealed if Russia succeeds in Syria

(German Economic News) Subscribe to German Economic News5 hours 

Originally Appeared at German Economic News; Translated by Susan Neumann

NATO is extremely nervous, because it knows that the truth about the relationship of NATO-member Turkey to the Islamist terror group (IS) will come to light if there is a Russian victory in Syria. If the refugees are able to return, Erdogan won’t have them as a pawn to extort money [from the EU]. It’s clear who’s interested in an escalation of the conflict.

The reaction of the Western alliance on the shooting down of a Russian bomber show that NATO is very nervous. It’s on the verge of losing control of Russia in Syria. The great Turkish ride out, which was most likely planned by the secret services, looks more like a desperate symbolic act than a carefully considered commando operation. The Russian Ambassador to NATO, Alexander Grushko, called it shadow theatre.

The reason why NATO is looking for shady place to hide is the fact that Putin named those who shot down the Russian aircraft accomplices of the terrorists. Turkey is a NATO country. The alliance is confronted with the official accusation of terrorism for the first time. Until now, NATO has been the only one to slap others with the terrorist label. The real reason for their nervousness is tangibly rooted in the military.

The hopes of NATO and their secret services are being dashed on the rocks. US President Barack Obama has been running a different political course than that which NATO and their secret services would want. Obama wants to get out of the Syria war. He’s admitted that the mission has failed — and the idea of “regime change” has taken a heavy beating, to say the least. Obama has arranged it with Russian President Vladimir Putin that the Russians take over the IS-project. This has been devastatingly humiliating for the neocons, NATO, and the secret services.

After that, Russia began fighting terrorists who were allies of the US military. From the very beginning, Putin has stood in the way of the western military’s desire to cover up their manipulations Syria. The Islamic State and the military advisers of both Turkey and the Pentagon are now facing defeat in Syria.

US President Obama knows this as well. His message to Putin is therefore remarkably diplomatic. After a meeting at the White House with French President Francois Hollande, President Barack Obama said that if Moscow had a “change of strategy,” there would be “great potential” for cooperation. “Russia is welcome to be a part of our broad coalition.” It’s Obama’s half-hearted attempt to make it appear to NATO that they can bring Russia under control.

Why indeed, should Russia change its strategy, above all now? The Russians have kept repeating that the reason they’ve involved themselves militarily in Syria is because NATO has failed. One can believe that, because the Russians know that a fight to uncover terrorist cells is anything but easy. In order not to end up like the Americans in no man’s land, the Russians have made skillful alliances with Iran, Iraq, and China; and have even allowed Israel to have access to their information.

The military successes of the past few weeks have put the Western mercenary troops in dire straits. Obama’s added invitation for the Russians to join in is the real reason why NATO is so nervous. Obama says Moscow should work in close military cooperation and target their air strikes on the IS rather than the moderate rebels. They should also support political change in Damascus.

Russia has supported the change in Damascus for weeks. Moscow has repeatedly said that it doesn’t insist on Assad being president in the long run. The Russians do say, however, that it must be the decision of the Syrian people. This position is also shared by Iran. Russia has also submitted a transition plan of Syria, post-war. Within 18 months a new constitution could be drafted and new elections could be held. If anybody needed to make a strategic change, it would be the Western alliance. They have presented no political concept other than the battle cry, “Assad must go!”

The main worry of NATO, and Turkey in particular, lies in the risk that a Russian victory could uncover all the goings-on, of how the West and especially the Turkish government cooperated with the terrorists in the region. [If the Russians are victorious,] it will show the refugee debate in a completely different light, and it will become clear how the Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan cynically abused the refugees as bartering chips for his ambitions. It will also show that Erdogan’s war against the PKK is a completely disproportionate war, one in which the Kurdish civilian population was brutally attacked. One will also recognize that the West only has the Turkish government and Saudi Arabia as its allies, in a region with two Islamist governments.

Erdogan can still blackmail the totally incompetent EU and the German chancellor, who is totally over her head — by demanding billions of euros in protection money for the refugees. If the Russians truly succeed, however, in bringing peace to Syria — and in such a way that a majority of the refugees can return to their homeland — then Erdogan suddenly has a bad poker hand. Turkey is of course totally unsuitable to be included in the EU under Erdogan. Everybody in Brussels knows it. The visa-free travel is also a grotesque idea. Every day there are new incidents of how business can be conducted with fake Turkish passports — especially in Turkey. Then there’s the three billion euros that Erdogan demands from European taxpayers for the refugees. What’s going to happen with the money? Integration of refugees in Turkey? Better accommodation in the camps? No corruption, complete transparency?

This whole outlook makes Erdogan’s government and its intelligence agencies feel justified in shooting down a Russian fighter jet. They need an escalation of the situation, because they have their backs to the wall. That also makes Erdogan unpredictable in this conflict. He has a lot to lose.

For documentation purposes, we’ve published the report by the Germany Press Agency on NATO’s statement about the shoot-down. It proves that military units were not invented to think.

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Putin Plans To Bring Down Turkey’s Corrupt Government – WRITTEN BY SEAN ADL-TABATABAI

Putin vows to destroy Turkey's government and President
Vladimir Putin has authorized Russia’s military to bring down the current Turkish government, which includes plans to rid Turkey of its leader President Recep Erdogan, in response to Turkey’s shooting down of the Russian Su-24 warplane. 

According to the Ministry of Defence, the shooting down of the plane was organised by the CIA and Turkey, as part of an oil-for-weapons scheme which involved ISIS militants operating in Syria run by Turkey’s President Erdogan’s son Bilal Erdogan.

According to the MoD, Bilal Erdogan is the mastermind behind the lucrative crude oil smuggling by ISIS militants in Turkey, which is thought to hep fund the Islamic State.

Whatdoesitmean.com reports:

With the money earned from this sale of the Islamic States oil, this report notes, American weapons and ammunition were then bought from the CIA and transported back into Syria by Turkey’s National Intelligence Organization (MİT) to Islamic State terrorists—which was documented and verified by the editor-in-chief of the Turkish Cumhuriyet newspaper who upon the release of this information was ordered arrested yesterday by President Erdogan on treason and espionage charges.

 

With Aerospace Forces having destroyed over 1,000 fuel tankers in the week prior to 24 November carrying illegal Islamic State oil into Turkey, MoD analysts in this report state, Bilal Erdogan, along with his MIT and CIA “accomplices” then ordered the “shootdown by ambush” of Russia’s Su24-M bomber aircraft with Turkish Prime Minister, and Erdogan family ally, Ahmet Davutoglu admitting that he personally gave the order to fire on the aircraft—and which was filmed by Islamic State terrorists who knew where and when to “get that exclusive footage”, as reported by Federation Colonel-General Viktor Bondarev.

To the Western propaganda effort to “disguise/distort” this war crime against the Federation by Turkey, this report says, it has fallen into to many absurdities to count—including the impossibility of this Su24-M being able to fly over Turkish territory at a speed at which if true it had would have fallen from the sky, and which Wikileaks stated about: “Journalists: Learn to do basic maths. Look at Turkey’s statement to UN: 1.15 miles / 17 seconds x 60 x 60 = 243 miles/hour = 391 km/hour”.

Even worse about the Western propaganda, this report notes, is an obvious Erdogan-MIT-CIA fabricated recording of the alleged warning given to the Su24-M bomber aircraft—but which Turkish authorities have informed the Russian military attache that they did not provide the media with any audio recordings of alleged radio contacts between their F-16 fighter and the downed Russian Su-24M bomber aircraft because they don’t exist.

To President Putin’s war order against the Erdogan family and regime, this report continues, it has included the obliteration of the Islamic State forces in the area where this plane was downed and now allows Aerospace Forces to shoot down all enemy planes and objects which pose, or can pose, a threat to the serviceman of Russia in Syria.

And as stated by President Putin to the media this morning, these measures let everyone know clearly that the next time any foreign plane tries to carry out aggression against the Russian Air Force, air base, or the military personnel of Russia in Syria—they will be, without any doubts, immediately destroyed—and the Triumph S-400 air defense missile complex wasn’t just deployed to Syria for appearances.

With Turkey now massing tanks on their border with Syria, this report continues, President Putin’s war plan against the Erdogan regime also includes the destruction of the Turkish economy and the 1 January 2016 planned suspension of visa-free travel between Russia and Turkey—and, perhaps most dangerously, the immediate deployment to the Kurdish Syrian independent region of Rojava a contingent of Spetsnaz (Special Forces) troops to aid these people in their fight against the Islamic State.

With Turkey having bombed Kurdish fighters in Iraq and Syria 300 times and Islamic State targets only three, this report notes, the Erdogan regimes greatest fears have been revealed as being against these mainly women and girl Kurdish fighters in Rojava decimating Islamic State terrorists—and who by their success has invigorated the freedom thoughts of Turkey’s own Kurdish minority President Erdogan has vowed to destroy.

To if the United States would go to war against Russia to protect the Islamic State on the side of Turkey, this report concludes, it appears unlikely after the Obama regime removed all of their military forces Patriot Missiles from Turkish territory leaving that nation defenseless against Federation retaliation if needed.

And even though not contained in this MoD report, it is worth noting that should the Obama regime engage in war with Russia over the Islamic State, the American fighters entering the battlefield have now become so weak that this past week, the elite US military academy for training officers, West Point, was forced to ban pillow fights and the students at the University of Massachusetts were provided emergency grief counseling after they inadvertently saw a Confederate Battle Flag sticker on someone’s computer.

US anti-tank TOW missile used in attack on RT journalists in Syria – WRITTEN BY RT

 
 
 
 
 
A US-made anti-tank missile system was used in an attack on an RT crew in Syria, a mounting body of evidence suggests. Journalists recognized the area, while experts confirmed that a booster found by the Syrian army matches the TOW seen in a rebel video.

A baldly titled video – ‘Jihadists Launch TOW at Journalists’ – was recently posted online and clearly shows a group of Syrian rebels firing a US-made anti-tank missile launcher. Upon reviewing the video, RT’s Roman Kosarev, who was among the group of Russian journalists which miraculously survived an attack from a similar weapon earlier this week, recognized the area and the chain of events which subsequently unfolded.

“The landscape is very very reminiscent of the one when we came under fire from militants just a few days ago, on November 23,” Kosarev said. “And actually you can see people running for cover at a distance and I’m pretty sure it must have been us. And that person running in the back must be me.”

There is no doubt that rebels in the video had been firing a US-made BGM-71 TOW, not so-covertly supplied by Washington to the so-called moderate Syrian opposition, Kosarev insisted, with security and arms experts corroborating his statements.

Immediately after the attack on the Russian crew, the Syrian army swept the area and found a launch booster from the rocket that hit the media convoy. Experts agreed that it was “highly unlikely” that the booster, featuring distinctive markings, might belong to any other kind of weapon, but the system in question.

The BGM-71 TOW (Tube-launched, Optically tracked, Wire-guided) is one of the most widely used anti-tank guided missiles, which has been produced in the US since the 1970s. The missile has an operational range of up to 4,200 meters and an armor penetration of between 600 and 800 millimeters depending on the model. Hundreds of the systems have fallen into the hands of various rebel factions over the years of the Syrian conflict.

“It is clearly an American weapon system. It is consistent, that lettering, with the TOW system,” security analyst and former counter-terrorism intelligence officer Charles Shoebridge told RT upon reviewing the photo and video evidence. “And indeed it has been openly supplied by the US and indeed by US allies in the region, particularly Saudi Arabia to rebel groups. So therefor it would not at all be surprising to find this weapon system in the hands of the rebel groups and being used by them.”

“Perhaps notably last year a very large consignment of these weapons in the thousands were shipped to Saudi Arabia by the US as part of the arms supply,” Shoebridge added.

“And of course Saudi Arabia has been in the forefront supplying Syrian rebel groups, including to what in the West should really be called extremist rebels groups, with these fairly sophisticated and certainly powerful weapons.”

All the separate pieces of information are consistent with the version that Syrian rebels used a US-made weapons system against RT journalists, Shoebridge said. However, he admitted that from an “evidential perspective” it is hard to tie them all together.

Moreover, the same model of TOW was used by the rebels to destroy a grounded Russian helicopter involved in the Su-24 rescue operation, according to a video leaked earlier this week, a former senior security policy analyst in the office of the US Secretary of Defense Michael Maloof told RT. The tripods that the system was mounted on in on both of the videos allow a high degree of mobility, “especially when you are hiding in an ambush environment,” Maloof pointed out.

“TOWs have gone into Syria to so-called moderate groups, Sunni fighters really, ever since Russia actually began bombing. So the amounts of TOWs going in there has actually increased. And the Saudis of course are paying for a lot of it,” Maloof added.

“In the case of Syria [TOWs] have been supplied clandestinely under CIA operation through Turkey to various fighters that they have identified as being moderate,” Maloof added. “But these moderates are generally with the Free Syrian Army, and most of them have gone to join the Islamic fighters of either Al-Nusra or Daesh [ISIS].”

After Syrian rebels, apparently from the FSA, had been caught firing an anti-tank missile at a Russian helicopter, RT’s correspondent Gayane Chichakyan asked a US State Department spokesperson whether it was kind of action Washington expects from a “moderate rebel” force.

READ MORE: FSA video claims Russian-made helicopter hit with US-made TOW missile near Su-24 crash site

Citing a “complex environment” and scarce information he had about the downing of Russian Su-24 by the Turkish air force and subsequent pilot rescue mission, in which the helicopter came under fire, Mark Toner dodged the question and refused to condemn rebels’ actions.

“I mean, first of all, we have supplied some of the Syrian forces that are fighting ISIL in northern Syria. We’ve talked about that before. But there’s frankly many ways you can get – I mean, we’ve also been providing equipment and weaponry to Iraqi military as well,” Toner said on Tuesday,

“So I can’t speak to the specific incident,” Toner added, instead resorting to vague accusations that Russian airstrikes “in many cases are directed at moderate Syrian opposition forces,” which according to Washington is making situation on the ground “even more complex.”

The State Department is yet to comment on the rebels’ apparent use of TOW against Russian journalists.

Overall, the attacked media convoy included 17 people, all wearing jackets clearly marking them out as press. The convoy was targeted deliberately, journalists said, as they had been receiving death threats from local terrorist groups.

READ MORE: RT journalists injured in shelling on Syria-Turkey border back in Moscow

RT English channel correspondent Roman Kosarev, his RT Arabic colleague, Sargon Hadaya, and TASS reporter Alexander Yelistratov who were all injured in the attack safely arrived in Moscow on Thursday.

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Putin and Hollande go after Erdogan’s racket – WRITTEN BY PEPE ESCOBAR ( RT )

Pepe Escobar
Pepe Escobar is an independent geopolitical analyst. He writes for RT, Sputnik and TomDispatch, and is a frequent contributor to websites and radio and TV shows ranging from the US to East Asia. He is the former roving correspondent for Asia Times Online. Born in Brazil, he’s been a foreign correspondent since 1985, and has lived in London, Paris, Milan, Los Angeles, Washington, Bangkok and Hong Kong. Even before 9/11 he specialized in covering the arc from the Middle East to Central and East Asia, with an emphasis on Big Power geopolitics and energy wars. He is the author of “Globalistan” (2007), “Red Zone Blues” (2007), “Obama does Globalistan” (2009) and “Empire of Chaos” (2014), all published by Nimble Books. His latest book is “2030”, also by Nimble Books, out in December 2015.
Russia's President Vladimir Putin (R) and his French counterpart Francois Hollande speak after a news conference at the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia, November 26, 2015 © Alexander Zemlianichenko
It all started with French President Francois Hollande, after the Paris attacks, having the temerity to advance the idea of France working together with Russia in the same coalition against ISIS/ISIL/Daesh in Syria.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip “no excuse” Erdogan thought NATO and Russia by this time would be at each other’s – Cold War 2.0 – nuclear throats, while Washington had brushed off Hollande’s idea with a cascade of platitudes and distortions.

And in less than 17 seconds, Prime Minister Ahmet “I ordered it myself” Davutoglu had authorized Turkey to shoot down a Russian Su-24 – only a few hours before Hollande met with President Obama.

So everything seemed to be falling into place. No chance of a new détente between the Atlanticist powers and NATO. On the contrary. Erdogan was sure he had sabotaged for good the Hollande-Putin face-to-face meeting in Moscow.

Not so fast, Sultan.

In Moscow, Hollande and Putin confirmed that France and Russia will not be torn apart. The French leader declared: “What we agreed, and this is important, is to strike only terrorists and Daesh and to not strike forces that are fighting terrorism. We will exchange information about whom to hit and whom not to hit.”

Now that unveils a thrilling horizon. In the “to hit” section we already find Daesh and Jabhat al-Nusra, a.k.a. al-Qaeda in Syria, which the Vienna negotiations have already branded as terrorists.

And considering that al-Nusra has gobbled up, co-opted or instrumentalized an array of Salafi outfits, “moderate” or otherwise, it won’t be hard for the Russians to convince the French these are all legitimate targets.

Also significant is that France will increase support to “rebels” fighting Daesh on the ground; that’s code for the YPG Syrian Kurds – one of Erdogan’s nemeses alongside the PKK.

So the Sultan’s risky shoot down investment is not paying too many dividends. What if Hollande came up with the same old scratched Obama CD, as in “Assad just go”, while Putin re-emphasized that “the fate of the president of Syria must stay in the hands of the Syrian people”? Everyone knows this is not the main priority of the Vienna negotiations. The main priority – as reiterated by the declaration of war inbuilt in UNSC resolution 2249 – is to smash ISIS/ISIL/Daesh.

And then the clincher, as Putin and Hollande reached a consensus: there will be a barrage of air strikes against the fuel tanker truck convoys transporting stolen Syrian oil across Daesh-controlled territory on the way to Turkey.

There goes in flames the profitable racket of ‘Sultan’s’ son Bilal Erdogan, a.k.a. ‘Erdogan Mini Me’, one of three shareholders of marine transportation corporation BMZ.

Send in the Sukhois!

Putin delivered a sarcastic cruise missile as he said it was “theoretically possible” that Ankara didn’t know about stolen Syrian oil entering Turkish territory from all points Daesh, but he added that was hard to imagine.

So leaving nothing to the imagination, one of Russia’s S-400 AA missile defense systems is already on combat duty at the Hmeymim airbase, and another one is on the way.

The ‘Sultan’ has been warned. From now on Russia has three major priorities:

1. A de facto no-fly zone already in effect south of the Turkish-Syrian border enforced by the S-400s. Ankara is so scared it grounded even owls and crows.

2. Already in effect; Russia will hit – hard – anything that suspiciously moves on every transport corridor in and out of Turkey. Turkish “humanitarian” convoys – carrying, what else, weapons – were pulverized in Azaz, which is only five kilometers from the Turkish border. And truck distribution points were also bombed near Raqqa.

3. Already in effect; Russia massively bombing the whole wide region where CIA ops run a cash and weapon highway to the Free Syrian Army (FSA) and “innocent” Turkmen. Russia started carpet bombing the Jabal Turkmen area immediately after Russian pilot Lt. Col Oleg Pershin was rescued.

As I detailed here, there is absolutely nothing “innocent” about this whole war theatre crammed with a dozen al-Qaeda-friendly Turkmen militias.

And there’s more.

Not only Russia will smash the Turkmen/Chechen/Uzbek/Turkish Islamo-fascist militia connection in Latakia Province; it will most of all smash the Syrian stolen oil bonanza which benefits ‘Erdogan Mini Me’. Extra bonus: Smash the sea tankers as well. Francois Hollande abides.

So ‘Erdogan Mini Me’ better seek refuge in Dubai. But oops, that does not preclude an ”accident” after a wild night in town.

Highway to Hell

By now, Erdogan and ‘Mini Me’ must have gotten the message. They thought they had it covered when they took out the Su-24, which was not “violating” anything apart from the ultra-lucrative dirty oil extravaganza that profits, among others, ‘Mini Me’. Get rid of a sell oil for Daesh program, defying a NATO oil embargo? That’s an offer Russia cannot refuse.

At least two major questions are left unanswered. How come the US-led ‘Coalition of Dodgy Opportunists’ (CDO), in over a year, never – and the operative word is never – bombed any of the wheels in the Syrian stolen oil machine?

And how come no one among the CDO – Americans especially – did anything to prevent ‘Mini Me’ and others from actually funding the Daesh racket for so long? The CIA obviously knows all this and more, with geostationary satellites all over ‘Syraq’ working overtime.
Well, the CIA was too busy running the cash and weapons highway through Turkmen Mountain to be disturbed by a mere oil smuggling op.

But now Russia is going after all of them; the CIA weapon highway, the Turkish-enabled Jihadi highway, the Daesh-to-Turkey stolen oil highway. Sultan and ‘Mini Me’, get ready to embark on a highway to hell.

The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of RT.

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